PERAMALAN JUMLAH PENDUDUK DKI JAKARTA DENGAN METODE REGRESI LINEAR UNTUK MEMPERSIAPKAN INDONESIA EMAS 2045
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.31848/jkri.v3i2.4414Keywords:
Forecasting, Linear Regression, Golden Indonesia, Demographic BonusAbstract
Indonesia has been experiencing a demographic bonus since 2015.
Without careful planning, the demographic bonus can turn into a
demographic burden. Therefore, this study aims to analyze and predict the
number of productive age human resources (15-64 years) and non-productive
human resources (>65 years) to welcome the 2045 golden Indonesia mission
using the linear regression forecasting method based on the last 8 years of
data from the DKI Jakarta Central Bureau of Statistics. Based on the
prediction results, the Productive Age Population in DKI Jakarta in Indonesia
Emas 2045 is estimated to reach 9,015,054 people, and the non-productive
age is estimated to reach 3,056,602 people. Based on the results of these
predictions, a dependency ratio of 33.91% is obtained, which shows that the
dependency value is low so that the country can maximize the demographic
bonus. Therefore, it is hoped that the government can provide equitable access
to learning, facilities for fostering various labor professions and expanding
employment opportunities to achieve sustainable development goals that will
support the success of the 2045 Golden Indonesia vision and mission so that
Indonesia can become a developed country.
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